Thursday, August 20, 2009

Version 1.07 was working beautifully...

..right up until there was a connection failure or a computer failure while trades are open. I had a few trades where the trailing stop was not handled properly after a system failure (when my dedicated trading machine tried to commit suicide recently) and noticed the potential for not only huge losses, but missed opportunities for entry because some trades that were supposed to be closed actually remained open. It was very discouraging.

So now there's version 1.08, which recovers beautifully from connection failures, system failures, any kind of failure (besides operator error of course). It has much improved trailing stop logic and fixes some obscure bugs that could only be caught when one of these system failures occured. The Preset Files for version 1.07 should still work but with one exception. Change useProtectiveStop=1 to useProtectiveStop=0, or you will get alot of break-even trades that will eat up a large percentage of your gains, and may even cause your account to be losing instead of winning.

Friday, August 14, 2009

Looking for testers!

Wanna be one of my testers? Go here for details...
This thing ends on sunday so you need to act fast if you want your chance to participate in this project. Tell all your friends too! I need as much traffic to the site as possible.

Thanks!

Wednesday, August 12, 2009

FSaF rescue project

I have been running FSaF on 10 charts on the same demo account since mid-June. Each chart is one of my 10 pre-optimized currency pairs. I didn't expect much out of this account except to see what problems would arise as a result of running the EA on multiple currency pairs. And believe me there were lots of problems in the first versions. Mostly caused by synchronization problems between charts.

Anyway, that account started with $10000 and over the next 6 weeks had gone down below $8500. This did not concern me because I was not looking for gains on this account. I was looking for problems to show themselves for me to fix. Click the image below to view full stats and trading history...


Now that version 1.07 addresses most of the problems found during this test, I decided to use it on this same account to recover the losses that occured during the test. You can tell when I started using version 1.07 because the lot size is different on the trades. Previous versions placed 10 trades of 0.01 lots. FSaF 1.07 places 3 trades of 0.03 lots. From August 3rd until now (Aug 12) it has recovered about $500.

So hopefully, FSaF will not only recover the original losses, it will provide nice steady gains on the account from here on with (hopefully) little drawdown. Even so, I thought it would be interesting to see how it does. This is why I put that particular account on mt4stats.com.

Wish me luck!

NOTE: Since these tests I discovered another problem with the protective/trailing stop logic that only occurs in some cases when MetaTrader is closed improperly, such as during a power failure or hardware crash. This has been remedied in version 1.08, which should be available either end of August or early September.

Friday, August 7, 2009

New Preset Files are now available

I decided after a rough trading month that instead of optimizing Forex Set and Forget for a month at a time, I would go back much further and try combinations that withstand the test of time. What I ended up doing is optimizing 10 pairs from January 1 2009 to August 1 2009 and taking (mostly) the combinations that had the highest reliability factor, which is calculated using the maximum drawdown over the time period and comparing with the ending profit. The higher the profit and the lower the drawdown, the higher the "Reliability Factor". A Reliability Factor of 2.00 or higher should be sufficient for consistent long term profits. As you can see in the chart below, all but one of the pairs optimized produced adequate, and in some cases exceptional, Reliability Factor.

SymbolProfitDrawdown#TradesReliability
Factor
USDJPY117.10%9.67%5412.11
EURGBP108.40%13.00%998.34
EURJPY145.70%18.06%2198.07
USDCHF68.60%10.81%516.35
GBPCHF86.50%13.72%1326.30
GBPUSD98.60%18.91%2285.21
GBPJPY99.90%29.40%2013.40
CHFJPY55.30%19.43%2132.85
EURUSD58.40%25.73%1142.27
EURCHF11.30%18.67%300.61
Backtest results from January 1 to August 1 2009


Full backtest reports are available now on the Forex Set and Forget site. A new minor version has been released with all of the new Preset Files, and a slightly enhanced AME Support Resistance indicator. Grab your updates now by opening up the "Check for Updates" icon in your FSaF installation directory (or ZIP file if you deleted the directory).